An AHP–FCE framework for pharmaceutical quality risk prioritization

application to GMP manufacturing processes

Authors

  • Songil Jo KIM IL SUNG University, Pyongyang, Democratic People’s Republic of Korea, Korea.
  • Unsong Ri KIM IL SUNG University, Pyongyang, Democratic People’s Republic of Korea, Korea. https://orcid.org/0009-0005-2395-6907
  • Jiyon Kye KIM IL SUNG University, Pyongyang, Democratic People’s Republic of Korea, Korea.
  • Jusong Kim KIM IL SUNG University, Pyongyang, Democratic People’s Republic of Korea, Korea.
  • Unhui Yun KIM IL SUNG University, Pyongyang, Democratic People’s Republic of Korea, Korea.
  • Cholman Jo KIM IL SUNG University, Pyongyang, Democratic People’s Republic of Korea, Korea.
  • Hyongwang Ri KIM IL SUNG University, Pyongyang, Democratic People’s Republic of Korea, Korea.
  • Choljin Pak Pyongyang JangCholGu University of Commerce, Pyongyang, Democratic People’s Republic of Korea, Korea.
  • Kyungmin Hwang University of Science, Pyongyang, Democratic People’s Republic of Korea, Korea.
  • Choljin Pak University of Science, Pyongyang, Democratic People’s Republic of Korea, Korea https://orcid.org/0009-0003-9367-4601
  • Gangsong Ri KIM IL SUNG University, Pyongyang, Democratic People’s Republic of Korea, Korea.

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.14488/BJOPM.3231.2026

Keywords:

Operations and production management, Risk prioritization, FMEA, AHP, FCE, GMP

Abstract

Goal: This study develops and validates an AHP-FCE risk-prioritization model for GMP manufacturing to improve discrimination of critical failure modes beyond conventional RPN-based FMEA.

Design / Methodology / Approach: Five cross-functional QRM experts (production, QA, QC) scored occurrence, severity, and detection for identified failure modes. AHP pairwise comparisons generated criterion weights, and FCE (weighted-score defuzzification) produced final risk grades. Outputs were compared with traditional FMEA rankings; differences were tested using a Wilcoxon signed-rank test and examined against retrospective batch-performance data (2023-2024).

Results: The proposed model significantly reclassified risks upward for critical items (p=0.0043). In routine production, batch-failure rates decreased from 2.8% to 1.1% for albendazole (n=254) and from 2.7% to 1.4% for tetracycline (n=426).

Limitations of the investigation: Evidence comes from a single-site observational before/after implementation without randomization or concurrent controls, covers only two product lines, and depends partly on expert elicitation, which may limit external validity.

Practical implications: The framework can be embedded in regular GMP risk-review and CAPA meetings to prioritize high-impact risks, allocate QA/QC resources, and strengthen traceability of decisions for inspection readiness.

Originality / Value: The study integrates auditable AHP weighting with uncertainty-aware FCE in one operational protocol and links risk-ranking changes to observed manufacturing-quality outcomes rather than rank differences alone.

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Published

2026-09-02

How to Cite

Jo, S., Ri, U., Kye, J., Kim, J., Yun, U., Jo, C., … Ri, G. (2026). An AHP–FCE framework for pharmaceutical quality risk prioritization: application to GMP manufacturing processes. Brazilian Journal of Operations & Production Management, 23(2), 3231. https://doi.org/10.14488/BJOPM.3231.2026

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Section

Research paper