An AHP–FCE framework for pharmaceutical quality risk prioritization
application to GMP manufacturing processes
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.14488/BJOPM.3231.2026Keywords:
Operations and production management, Risk prioritization, FMEA, AHP, FCE, GMPAbstract
Goal: This study develops and validates an AHP-FCE risk-prioritization model for GMP manufacturing to improve discrimination of critical failure modes beyond conventional RPN-based FMEA.
Design / Methodology / Approach: Five cross-functional QRM experts (production, QA, QC) scored occurrence, severity, and detection for identified failure modes. AHP pairwise comparisons generated criterion weights, and FCE (weighted-score defuzzification) produced final risk grades. Outputs were compared with traditional FMEA rankings; differences were tested using a Wilcoxon signed-rank test and examined against retrospective batch-performance data (2023-2024).
Results: The proposed model significantly reclassified risks upward for critical items (p=0.0043). In routine production, batch-failure rates decreased from 2.8% to 1.1% for albendazole (n=254) and from 2.7% to 1.4% for tetracycline (n=426).
Limitations of the investigation: Evidence comes from a single-site observational before/after implementation without randomization or concurrent controls, covers only two product lines, and depends partly on expert elicitation, which may limit external validity.
Practical implications: The framework can be embedded in regular GMP risk-review and CAPA meetings to prioritize high-impact risks, allocate QA/QC resources, and strengthen traceability of decisions for inspection readiness.
Originality / Value: The study integrates auditable AHP weighting with uncertainty-aware FCE in one operational protocol and links risk-ranking changes to observed manufacturing-quality outcomes rather than rank differences alone.
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Copyright (c) 2026 Songil Jo, Unsong Ri, Jiyon Kye, Jusong Kim, Unhui Yun, Cholman Jo, Hyongwang Ri, Choljin Pak, Kyungmin Hwang, Choljin Pak, Gangsong Ri

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